0x390165420F7B7d4bB54c9Fe82cD8057D287Aed0e-1773601845405
0x390165420f7b7d4bb54c9fe82cd8057d287aed0e
- Realised P&L
- $133.63
- Volume
- $722.09
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $160.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: AZ (-2.5) · AZ | 0.070 | 1.000 | $153.85 | +$143.08 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.020 | $3.64 | −$7.27 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.018 | $3.00 | −$7.00 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.45 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 03:12 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.56 |
| 03-16 16:40 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.043 | $9.45 |