friendlyreward
0x39012016232525192d8a625e229f426e46ae9761
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $193.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,303
- Open portfolio
- $15.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,303
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.270Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30?
- +$1.02at 0.480Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 28?
- +$0.81at 0.427Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$0.46at 0.270Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.98 |
| 08-05 19:59 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.56 |
| 08-05 19:58 | Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-05 19:50 | Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-05 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.13 |
| 08-05 19:41 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.748 | $14.96 |
| 08-05 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.23 |
| 08-05 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.1153565769 | $1.46 |
| 08-05 19:20 | Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 08-05 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.14777 | $2.96 |
| 08-05 19:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 08-05 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-05 19:16 | Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 08-05 19:14 | Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |