0x38fB603d036057BF4896cE298e1B341Ea975D07c-1782222277205
0x38fb603d036057bf4896ce298e1b341ea975d07c
- Realised P&L
- $-42.8k
- Volume
- $2.85M
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $126.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.0kat 0.104UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$9.8kat 0.066Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?
- +$4.4kat 0.333Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$2.4kat 0.500Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?
- +$2.4kat 0.500Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-08-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0523652908 | $250.00 |
| 09-28 06:34 | China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungelliti | SELL | 0.54 | $405.00 |
| 09-28 06:32 | China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 09-28 06:25 | China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungelliti | SELL | 0.8536091685 | $721.36 |
| 09-28 06:17 | China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $600.00 |
| 09-27 18:59 | BNB Up or Down - September 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.0171232877 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3133617448 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:34 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | SELL | 0.12 | $114.75 |
| 09-27 16:59 | Spread: Jets (-10.5) | BUY | 0.0853843753 | $57.00 |
| 09-27 16:51 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.04 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 16:48 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.16 | $153.00 |
| 09-27 16:42 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.2 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 16:11 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.005 | $71.62 |
| 09-26 11:28 | Nantong Zhiyun vs. Changchun Yatai: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.09 | $588.31 |