0x38Fa1fdcE9420B0116e983dc49F4CF8B2b4D26Ff-1775875225658
0x38fa1fdce9420b0116e983dc49f4cf8b2b4d26ff
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $73.4k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $296.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.427Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$157.32at 0.118Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
- +$149.26at 0.500Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$54.90at 0.721Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$49.92at 0.810Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 08-03 07:37 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-03 07:08 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 08-03 02:27 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 08-03 01:44 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.85 |
| 08-03 01:44 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $18.98 |
| 08-03 01:25 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $23.45 |
| 08-02 13:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-02 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 00:33 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 08-02 00:32 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 08-01 10:57 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |