0x38Fa1fdcE9420B0116e983dc49F4CF8B2b4D26Ff-1775875225658
0x38fa1fdce9420b0116e983dc49f4cf8b2b4d26ff
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $145.3k
- Markets traded
- 441
- Open portfolio
- $85.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded441
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.428Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
- +$521.92at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?
- +$392.42at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?
- +$327.18at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?
- +$238.86at 0.436Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5899999954 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.77 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.79 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.0953333333 | $7.15 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.1022222222 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $14.76 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6391733333 | $95.88 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7899999976 | $65.00 |
| 09-17 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.6828462516 | $16.12 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3872397531 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2897102895 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.94 |
| 09-16 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |