PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38Fa1fdcE9420B0116e983dc49F4CF8B2b4D26Ff-1775875225658

0x38fa1fdce9420b0116e983dc49f4cf8b2b4d26ff

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$145.3k
Markets traded
441
Open portfolio
$85.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded441
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.5900.640$43.39+$3.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.1510.210$42.35+$11.93
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 13? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 15? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$64.04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 5? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$71.33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$65.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 24? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 2? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$75.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? · No0.3870.000$0.00$40.86
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 27? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 1? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$4.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9? · No0.1580.000$0.00$1.60
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$39.74
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00$88.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.5899999954$40.00
09-18 06:58Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.16$2.77
09-18 03:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?SELL0.23$6.79
09-18 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?SELL0.0953333333$7.15
09-18 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?SELL0.1022222222$4.60
09-17 10:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.16$50.00
09-17 07:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.82$14.76
09-17 07:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.82$41.00
09-17 07:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.6391733333$95.88
09-17 04:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.7899999976$65.00
09-17 00:13Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?SELL0.6828462516$16.12
09-16 08:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?BUY0.3872397531$50.00
09-16 08:21Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?BUY0.2897102895$50.00
09-16 07:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?SELL0.999$49.94
09-16 07:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 16?SELL0.999$99.90