PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38F2DE66652B6600646e0fe8FA57F1980C118690-1772484604408

0x38f2de66652b6600646e0fe8fa57f1980c118690

Realised P&L
$342.03
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$318.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.5260.655$318.70+$62.71
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$3.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? · Up0.5430.000$0.00−$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 8? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 21? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00−$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 21:32S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.5199999954$50.00
10-15 20:36S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.529999998$50.00
10-15 19:27S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
10-15 18:05S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.56$56.00
10-15 16:56S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?SELL0.999$307.66
10-14 21:26S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.5699999994$120.00
10-14 19:57S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.5130785677$50.00
10-14 19:32S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?SELL0.999$378.24
10-13 20:38S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?BUY0.5399999976$100.00
10-13 20:36S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?BUY0.5169613013$100.00
10-12 21:59S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
10-12 21:57S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?SELL0.999$131.78
10-12 11:46S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.7580859207$100.00
10-09 09:11S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?SELL0.9626377332$177.00
10-08 19:05S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.5438506705$100.00