PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goodmax

0x38f296974f0e06d189a75999c7f46f921808232e

Realised P&L
$19.89
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$20.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? · Yes0.3240.633$16.95+$8.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? · Yes0.2480.105$2.82$3.85
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.2500.029$0.61$4.77
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$11.29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00$14.66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:15Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?BUY0.248139881$6.67
09-22 05:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?BUY0.3241106713$8.67
09-21 21:44Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21?BUY0.2279999994$11.29
09-21 21:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?BUY0.3729999911$14.66
09-21 21:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?SELL0.6467336757$35.26
09-21 09:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?SELL0.3463192612$6.56
09-21 09:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.3910162719$7.41
09-21 09:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?SELL0.136$4.58
09-21 08:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?BUY0.25$8.42
09-21 08:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?BUY0.200999997$10.96
09-21 08:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?SELL0.915$33.64
09-20 20:41Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.89$16.22
09-20 18:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.2625482577$5.00
09-20 18:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.2819999913$5.00
09-18 19:26Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00