goodmax
0x38f296974f0e06d189a75999c7f46f921808232e
- Realised P&L
- $19.89
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $20.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.633 | $16.95 | +$8.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.105 | $2.82 | −$3.85 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.029 | $0.61 | −$4.77 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.29 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.66 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.94at 0.286Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?
- +$22.82at 0.212Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$10.94at 0.290Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$4.25at 0.258Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$3.45at 0.258Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.248139881 | $6.67 |
| 09-22 05:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.3241106713 | $8.67 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2279999994 | $11.29 |
| 09-21 21:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.3729999911 | $14.66 |
| 09-21 21:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.6467336757 | $35.26 |
| 09-21 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.3463192612 | $6.56 |
| 09-21 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.3910162719 | $7.41 |
| 09-21 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.136 | $4.58 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.42 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.200999997 | $10.96 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.915 | $33.64 |
| 09-20 20:41 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.89 | $16.22 |
| 09-20 18:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2625482577 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2819999913 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |