TastyCrousty
0x38eb31e3e86b81ce34ebee85ae3020a48ef6b6d7
- Realised P&L
- $-179.23
- Volume
- $40.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $268.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.54at 0.007Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$44.61at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$21.70at 0.467Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$20.95at 0.210Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$19.23at 0.785Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:50 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 12:41 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.2575603969 | $23.88 |
| 05-08 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.512547549 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 13:30 | Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 05-06 13:47 | Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 05-06 09:45 | Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3861386094 | $30.00 |
| 05-06 09:44 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.303100992 | $30.00 |
| 05-03 18:05 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4313725463 | $40.00 |
| 05-03 18:01 | Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6911764385 | $50.00 |
| 05-03 17:59 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 04-22 08:23 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2099999964 | $40.00 |
| 04-17 12:55 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1159999969 | $30.00 |
| 04-10 06:36 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $22.50 |
| 03-16 16:01 | Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7847382199 | $29.98 |
| 03-16 15:52 | Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.4043445503 | $30.00 |