0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180
0x38e2f5d6d1693a365e22b7ca0c715f8d92da2909
- Realised P&L
- $13.4k
- Volume
- $913.5k
- Markets traded
- 43,651
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded43,651
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.54at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$300.85at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?
- +$242.76at 0.144Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?
- +$240.60at 0.138Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?
- +$229.24at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |