PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180

0x38e2f5d6d1693a365e22b7ca0c715f8d92da2909

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
47,716
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded47,716
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No0.7601.000$65.77+$15.77
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.4081.000$63.72+$37.72
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? · No0.6491.000$61.58+$21.58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.6601.000$46.94+$15.94
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? · No0.6630.675$43.76+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? · No0.7820.730$42.93$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? · No0.8111.000$39.44+$7.44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No0.8691.000$35.64+$4.64
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18? · No0.5770.595$33.02+$1.02
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.9901.000$30.30+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? · No0.7800.715$28.43$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18? · No0.6210.580$26.43$1.87
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? · Yes0.3981.000$25.11+$15.11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.4411.000$24.94+$13.94
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 18? · No0.7700.700$24.53$2.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?BUY0.78$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.6999998833$3.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.699999916$5.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.6799999547$3.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.6899996964$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3919263179$2.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999844$3.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-18 02:09Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.6299998362$1.00