PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180

0x38e2f5d6d1693a365e22b7ca0c715f8d92da2909

Realised P&L
$13.4k
Volume
$913.5k
Markets traded
43,651
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded43,651
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 01:05Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4?BUY0.84$1.00
08-04 01:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.5399999712$3.00
08-04 01:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.54$1.00
08-04 00:59Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-04 00:00Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.8$1.00
08-04 00:00Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.8$3.00
08-03 23:57Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.55$1.00
08-03 23:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-03 23:09Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-03 23:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-03 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
08-03 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
08-03 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-03 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.76$7.00
08-03 23:02Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.7599999696$5.00