0x38E2f5d6d1693a365E22b7ca0c715f8d92Da2909-1774307530180
0x38e2f5d6d1693a365e22b7ca0c715f8d92da2909
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 47,716
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded47,716
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.67at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$298.31at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?
- +$241.01at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?
- +$238.95at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?
- +$227.06at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6999998833 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3919263179 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |