Lyn01
0x38de4a1844f2cc962586180f74b5c849d249e9a8
- Realised P&L
- $-85.27
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $13.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.50at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$7.31at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$1.64at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$1.34at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$1.26at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:37 | Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.1449999942 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:36 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1189999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:32 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0878986294 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |