PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x38d812aff0b79f3bf5da2a477f780bcc163eea7c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
21,628
Open portfolio
$15.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded21,628
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2? · Down0.1931.000$1.9k+$1.5k
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2300.967$1.0k+$765.45
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.7731.000$905.15+$204.90
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.6910.655$663.51−$36.56
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.6150.565$642.97−$56.79
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 in November? · Yes0.5210.545$621.85+$27.59
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.5140.455$619.71−$80.51
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2430.296$617.67+$110.61
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.5610.485$604.89−$95.10
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.7000.911$472.92+$109.52
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.7040.405$402.98−$297.17
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 2? · Up0.7530.500$384.23−$194.38
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.5860.991$380.16+$155.51
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.6560.350$373.45−$326.80
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of November 2 2026? · Yes0.6100.310$355.73−$344.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 21:05Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of November 2 2026?SELL0.57$5.70
11-02 21:00Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of November 2 2026?SELL0.43$2.15
11-02 20:58Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of November 2 2026?BUY0.82$85.69
11-02 20:54Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on November 2?BUY0.14$15.40
11-02 20:54Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2?BUY0.22$88.70
11-02 20:54Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2?BUY0.2053333333$6.16
11-02 20:54Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2?BUY0.1999867374$301.58
11-02 20:54Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2?BUY0.23$460.00
11-02 20:54Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2?BUY0.2$400.00
11-02 20:54Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on November 2?BUY0.1479992306$296.23
11-02 20:52S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2?SELL0.8900322581$275.91
11-02 20:51Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2?BUY0.259$5.18
11-02 20:51Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 2?SELL0.05$5.50
11-02 20:51Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 2?SELL0.0501538462$6.52
11-02 20:51S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2?BUY0.0798176323$13.07