0x38d812aff0b79f3bf5da2a477f780bcc163eea7c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 21,628
- Open portfolio
- $15.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded21,628
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.0kat 0.388Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?
- +$11.6kat 0.065SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$8.2kat 0.091Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on September 21?
- +$6.8kat 0.120Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 29?
- +$6.4kat 0.091Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 21:05 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of November 2 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 11-02 21:00 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of November 2 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-02 20:58 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of November 2 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $85.69 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on November 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $15.40 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $88.70 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.2053333333 | $6.16 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2? | BUY | 0.1999867374 | $301.58 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2? | BUY | 0.23 | $460.00 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 on November 2? | BUY | 0.1479992306 | $296.23 |
| 11-02 20:52 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 2? | SELL | 0.8900322581 | $275.91 |
| 11-02 20:51 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.259 | $5.18 |
| 11-02 20:51 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.50 |
| 11-02 20:51 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 2? | SELL | 0.0501538462 | $6.52 |
| 11-02 20:51 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0798176323 | $13.07 |