0x38D7d72D8502249952f1efC8F2208C1BFC27A061-1773325247439
0x38d7d72d8502249952f1efc8f2208c1bfc27a061
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $1.77M
- Markets traded
- 5,144
- Open portfolio
- $126.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.51at 0.755Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?
- +$118.58at 0.802Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 11?
- +$93.81at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 25?
- +$86.17at 0.856Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?
- +$57.57at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.96 |
| 09-28 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.998748 | $4.99 |
| 09-28 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |