bree42
0x38d426c7e3eb82b08b878c1d1eeb8083b5e8187f
- Realised P&L
- $-806.36
- Volume
- $83.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $396.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.055 | $396.21 | −$2.6k |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.439Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$235.45at 0.570Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
- +$-1.6kat 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:51 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $551.24 |
| 10-26 02:46 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.0152716644 | $42.00 |
| 09-10 05:23 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4225344878 | $3.0k |
| 09-06 13:59 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $315.79 |
| 09-05 06:54 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30? | BUY | 0.2368327098 | $155.09 |
| 09-05 06:52 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $186.24 |
| 09-05 06:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.1961319444 | $5.6k |
| 06-10 06:27 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | BUY | 0.017 | $126.80 |
| 06-10 06:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.2k |