PolyBot

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Traders

0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20

0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20

Realised P&L
$-3.87
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$26.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15? · Yes0.1441.000$7.29+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.2401.000$4.41+$3.35
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15? · No0.3001.000$3.53+$2.47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15? · Yes0.3000.998$3.52+$2.46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15? · No0.7251.000$3.01+$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? · No0.6601.000$1.65+$0.56
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.1100.110$1.09+$0.00
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · No0.5700.495$0.95−$0.14
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.059$0.32−$0.77
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · No0.6100.160$0.29−$0.80
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen? · Yes0.4300.101$0.26−$0.83
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0700.017$0.22−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 15? · Yes0.0110.001$0.05−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on October 15? · Yes0.0290.001$0.02−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 15? · Yes0.1400.001$0.01−$3.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 08:12Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?BUY0.6499996422$1.09
10-15 05:52Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.3699999825$1.06
10-15 05:23Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on October 15?BUY0.0291012195$1.04
10-15 05:22Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.2999999434$1.06
10-15 05:17Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.21$1.05
10-15 05:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?BUY0.21$1.05
10-15 04:59Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.0597243469$1.04
10-15 04:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.24$1.05
10-15 04:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?BUY0.06$0.24
10-15 04:40Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.0109999999$1.04
10-15 04:39Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.1068623838$1.04
10-15 04:32Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.1799999794$1.05
10-15 02:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.14$1.05
10-15 02:26Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.105$1.05
10-15 02:25Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?BUY0.19$0.95