0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20
0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20
- Realised P&L
- $-3.87
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $26.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.44at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?
- +$4.93at 0.186Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
- +$3.68at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?
- +$3.61at 0.238Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?
- +$3.23at 0.259Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6499996422 | $1.09 |
| 10-15 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.3699999825 | $1.06 |
| 10-15 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.0291012195 | $1.04 |
| 10-15 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2999999434 | $1.06 |
| 10-15 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0597243469 | $1.04 |
| 10-15 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.24 |
| 10-15 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0109999999 | $1.04 |
| 10-15 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1068623838 | $1.04 |
| 10-15 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1799999794 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.105 | $1.05 |
| 10-15 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |