unionway
0x38d0d7761db1aa0c6f4499560a4b88a9627cb85c
- Realised P&L
- $-317.11
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $33.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.70at 0.612Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13?
- +$55.47at 0.707Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 9?
- +$53.95at 0.660Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?
- +$53.32at 0.648Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?
- +$45.11at 0.598Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-07 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 10-07 15:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |
| 10-07 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.60 |
| 10-07 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-07 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.50 |
| 10-07 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.54 |
| 10-07 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.54 |
| 10-07 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 10-06 19:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.3902223112 | $19.48 |
| 10-06 12:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-06 12:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-06 12:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.40 |
| 10-06 12:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-06 12:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.11 |