PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

unionway

0x38d0d7761db1aa0c6f4499560a4b88a9627cb85c

Realised P&L
$-317.11
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$33.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? · No0.6480.875$22.50+$5.83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · No0.6030.550$10.18−$0.97
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8? · No0.6110.026$0.91−$20.49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$10.10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 27? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? · Yes0.6830.000$0.00−$113.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00−$5.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 5? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$5.37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 6? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$3.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 15:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.59$2.95
10-07 15:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.62$9.30
10-07 15:49Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.61$9.15
10-07 15:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.6$3.60
10-07 13:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.61$3.05
10-07 13:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.6$4.50
10-07 09:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.66$3.54
10-07 09:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.66$3.54
10-07 08:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.64$9.60
10-06 19:36Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?SELL0.3902223112$19.48
10-06 12:49Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.57$2.85
10-06 12:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.57$2.85
10-06 12:38Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.56$8.40
10-06 12:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.58$2.90
10-06 12:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.61$9.11