Mar14n
0x38cfef4e9a08fc65e3a65ba51548cf15e4031d60
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $226.6k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $154.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$956.98at 0.505Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$220.10at 0.530Ethereum all time high by August 22?
- +$127.80at 0.068Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$40.70at 0.033Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$39.19at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0292061867 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 06:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 05:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $254.21 |
| 07-03 20:30 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 18:19 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 19:21 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 19:19 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $40.00 |
| 06-14 05:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-11 04:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999994 | $200.00 |
| 06-04 12:00 | Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0035689349 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 20:26 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 20:26 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999997 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 20:25 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999995 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 17:37 | US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0152400402 | $90.00 |
| 05-12 17:36 | US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0149551331 | $10.00 |