PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mar14n

0x38cfef4e9a08fc65e3a65ba51548cf15e4031d60

Realised P&L
$-7.6k
Volume
$226.6k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$154.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No0.1690.152$135.15$14.85
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0040.007$19.61+$9.61
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$31.00
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$50.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? · No0.0990.000$0.00$70.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$200.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$17.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$599.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$100.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$139.97
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$20.00
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 20:54Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0292061867$100.00
07-15 06:08Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2279999997$500.00
07-11 05:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$254.21
07-03 20:30Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$10.00
07-02 18:19Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$5.00
07-01 19:21Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$10.00
06-14 19:19Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$40.00
06-14 05:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1659999993$200.00
06-11 04:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999994$200.00
06-04 12:00Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0035689349$10.00
05-12 20:26Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0069999999$100.00
05-12 20:26Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999997$50.00
05-12 20:25Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999995$100.00
05-12 17:37US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?BUY0.0152400402$90.00
05-12 17:36US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?BUY0.0149551331$10.00