0x38ce7913901ff8dbe290e6b45e0ab01800d0562c
0x38ce7913901ff8dbe290e6b45e0ab01800d0562c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.45
- Volume
- $156.85
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? · No | 0.720 | 0.730 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.465 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.432Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$4.14at 0.552Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.18at 0.610Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?
- +$2.83at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.400Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of July 20 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:52 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:52 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3489999407 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:50 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2269999662 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:45 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 03:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 05:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 00:33 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6799999326 | $1.21 |
| 08-05 15:33 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 06:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:36 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999804 | $4.78 |
| 08-01 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |