PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hscadocas

0x38c041c19ab637e67240645997b422cded7053f9

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$208.1k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$26.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.5100.999$23.92+$11.70
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · Yes0.1830.026$2.68−$15.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$71.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6060.000$0.00−$21.70
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Manchester City FC0.4200.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 15:28Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.381$30.37
08-23 12:04Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.00
08-23 12:04Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5$6.00
08-23 12:03Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-23 12:02Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.419999994$25.00
08-23 12:02Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.6599999976$50.00
07-26 00:35Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.5704942225$40.98
07-21 08:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6059999974$70.00
07-19 18:46Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999869$5.00
07-19 18:46Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5499999984$120.00
07-18 22:50Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsSELL0.04$0.39
07-18 22:48Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsBUY0.39$3.83
07-18 22:22Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179999987$10.00
07-18 22:18Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1835253169$66.00
07-17 01:37Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?SELL0.9988992713$163.13