lvlzf
0x38b8bf2a55f4ffb92c2b1f49ad141a1cdac868b4
- Realised P&L
- $15.97
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $53.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $14.93 | +$0.08 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $14.93 | +$0.08 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.990 | 0.956 | $14.33 | −$0.52 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $120? · No | 0.990 | 0.905 | $9.05 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.38at 0.978Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.981Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.09at 0.990Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 12 above $9.50?
- +$0.96at 0.991Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $30?
- +$0.81at 0.993SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:27 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $120? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-19 01:26 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-19 01:25 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-19 01:25 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-11 12:22 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.76 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.85 |
| 08-03 10:43 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 12:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $106.68 |
| 07-30 12:38 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $96 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-25 01:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.994 | $116.30 |
| 07-02 01:05 | Will Solana dip to $30 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.88 |
| 06-19 12:33 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $45 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.88 |
| 06-11 11:18 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $115.07 |
| 05-27 11:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.77 |