PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

v65y78

0x38b2ca4a077b863b416b3df0b8c794cc88963fb5

Realised P&L
$-1.78
Volume
$291.22
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.530$1.63−$0.37
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$2.38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$1.89
Spread: Lakers (-8.5) · Wizards0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$1.82
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$10.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals0.4700.000$0.00−$1.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.67
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$1.89
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$2.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 12:28Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-03 11:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7799995219$1.24
07-03 18:03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.309999928$2.67
06-30 15:02Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6499998682$1.48
06-27 16:08Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4899999506$2.18
06-22 18:30Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2699999153$2.20
06-21 15:07Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.3299999168$2.38
05-19 12:56Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.7$1.75
05-17 14:40Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.4699999191$1.22
05-16 14:50Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.4799998572$1.21
05-15 13:56Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.449999904$1.64
05-12 11:20Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.81$1.97
04-04 12:08Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.35$1.89
04-03 13:42US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.8199999393$1.89
03-12 15:35Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3790068017$1.82