PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kosssak

0x38b26fae913d2add7cda99da47b709d9ee035a16

Realised P&L
$-56.04
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$11.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4790.150$11.36$24.94
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$3.63
Georgescu banned from Romania election? · No0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$2.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-12 23:30Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.5899999691$3.63
11-27 12:42Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.4794756101$36.30
03-04 09:24Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?BUY0.1029999614$2.33
03-04 09:23Bucks vs. PelicansSELL0.68$0.89
03-04 09:23Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.16$0.89
03-04 09:22Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
02-28 08:56Georgescu banned from Romania election?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
02-28 08:56Bucks vs. PelicansBUY0.7599993312$1.00
02-28 08:55Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?SELL0.71$3.38
01-11 10:39Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
01-04 08:39Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?BUY0.55$1.00
01-04 08:38Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
01-04 08:38Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-04?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
01-04 08:38Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?BUY0.5$1.00
12-26 12:58Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-26?BUY0.2599998648$1.00