Ethanael02
0x38ac3bdedcb9f849d1dd212f68f87d4d16f6f9b7
- Realised P&L
- $-28.2k
- Volume
- $789.2k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.701Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$6.8kat 0.762LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$6.6kat 0.522LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
- +$5.8kat 0.572Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
- +$5.7kat 0.452LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:17 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.73 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 17:17 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.71 | $2.8k |
| 11-01 16:30 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $3.9k |
| 11-01 08:06 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6195951057 | $6.7k |
| 10-31 18:52 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $7.6k |
| 10-31 18:52 | Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $7.8k |
| 10-31 16:30 | Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 16:24 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 11:26 | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6099999971 | $35.69 |
| 10-31 04:37 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.6k |
| 10-31 02:48 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.9287177954 | $6.7k |
| 10-31 00:40 | Pistons vs. Nets | BUY | 0.7471478549 | $11.6k |
| 10-31 00:38 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $11.6k |
| 10-31 00:03 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $6.9k |
| 10-31 00:03 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $7.1k |