PolyBot

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Traders

tomypiestany

0x38a71afaa21dd9c6b1ef9ecdaf6482da7d4bd69d

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$221.6k
Markets traded
1,762
Open portfolio
$30.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,762
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 07:35Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.35$17.50
09-19 11:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.29$11.60
09-19 11:36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.52$10.40
09-19 11:36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.48$14.40
09-19 11:36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.54$10.80
09-19 11:34Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.49$9.80
09-19 11:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.5075$10.15
09-18 16:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.62$21.08
09-17 11:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.4777262392$10.51
09-16 06:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$40.89
09-13 10:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$37.13
09-13 08:22Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 13?BUY0.3$6.23
09-13 08:22Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 13?BUY0.31$5.79
09-13 08:22Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 13?BUY0.31$3.86
09-12 09:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12?BUY0.39$10.53