asdkkds
0x38a6b57902a10b9bdf65c24d2d9d07031d989110
- Realised P&L
- $-772.31
- Volume
- $66.2k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $23.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.024 | $22.88 | −$72.46 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.011 | $0.57 | −$4.42 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.96at 0.607Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$262.48at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$253.34at 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$29.42at 0.250Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$8.01at 0.294Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.24 |
| 10-08 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.54 |
| 10-08 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 10-08 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 10-08 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-08 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.69 |
| 10-08 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.061 | $1.22 |
| 09-12 11:38 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.82 |
| 09-07 06:53 | Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-07 06:28 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0150 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.66 |
| 09-01 05:02 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-01 05:02 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 03:54 | Will Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-26 11:27 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |