PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38A50900ebC9081D2Aa21eB689dCC4917fa1138b-1780168481442

0x38a50900ebc9081d2aa21eb689dcc4917fa1138b

Realised P&L
$-30.11
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$68.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.4100.405$28.35$0.35
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0130.005$26.33$43.58
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0310.028$13.42$1.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$37.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.2700.000$0.00$27.00
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil0.3100.000$0.00$12.40
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$26.25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? · No0.4600.000$0.00$11.50
Michael Olise: 1+ goals · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$58.97
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$12.00
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$26.50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$17.25
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.0960.000$0.00$80.00
Arda Güler: 1+ assists · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$7.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:48Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.41$28.70
09-12 05:56Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.49$31.85
09-01 16:44Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.48$33.60
07-27 15:11Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.013$29.92
07-27 15:10Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.031$15.13
07-26 14:55Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.0134899608$40.00
07-26 14:00Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.06$15.44
07-26 14:00Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.172$3.31
07-26 13:56Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
07-26 13:45Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.32$13.97
07-26 13:35Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?SELL0.13$18.57
07-26 13:29Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-25 14:59Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0369125908$9.50
07-25 14:54Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.2290076194$10.00
07-19 20:27Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.26$26.00