PolyBot

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Traders

0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715

0x389d2790cd8ead87028f68eaa7cfadb6c53f5866

Realised P&L
$16.2k
Volume
$992.7k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$195.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3680.335$195.1k−$19.1k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00−$2.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2? · Down0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$422.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$17.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.0k
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$2.00
Will another country strike Iran by March 7? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? · No0.4030.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 13:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4695332727$23.5k
10-28 13:06Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9587778232$4.2k
10-28 13:01Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.957061928$9.6k
10-27 18:36Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1598401598$3.9k
10-17 16:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.27$700.00
10-14 18:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$1.2k
10-14 18:46Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.12$1.0k
10-08 04:18Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1528117116$600.00
10-08 04:18Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.15$1.0k
10-07 18:26Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1580871389$62.55
10-07 18:25Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.15$67.05
10-07 18:25Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1495886313$200.00
10-07 18:22Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1434583975$2.0k
10-05 13:35Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1422222222$8.00
10-05 13:27Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1504051303$800.00