PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SPY-KT

0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d

Realised P&L
$-18.6k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
790
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded790
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.5630.880$1.0k+$377.73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5270.665$970.56+$201.42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6320.875$961.08+$266.66
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.6630.655$518.24$6.76
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.6270.460$465.47$169.52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · No0.3720.190$275.36$264.63
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.1040.051$108.11$112.88
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.5310.825$98.90+$35.20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.0900.030$50.00$100.00
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September? · No0.0760.025$48.83$96.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.205$48.81$1.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0870.019$36.99$128.01
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · No0.1090.049$13.42$16.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 13:59Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.5899999987$150.00
09-14 13:59Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.79$197.50
09-14 13:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.2143569283$20.00
09-14 13:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.2130584187$20.00
09-11 03:42Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.052$25.00
09-03 21:15Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.7480331714$75.00
09-03 17:04Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.5099999985$100.00
09-03 17:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.89$137.06
09-03 17:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.75$25.00
09-03 17:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.7534719161$25.00
09-03 17:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.75$5.00
09-03 16:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.303921543$5.00
09-03 16:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
09-03 16:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.2992277648$5.00
09-03 16:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.89$112.14