SPY-KT
0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
- Realised P&L
- $-18.6k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 790
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded790
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.019Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$2.0kat 0.230Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 29 above $195?
- +$1.5kat 0.674Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.655Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.175Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:59 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.5899999987 | $150.00 |
| 09-14 13:59 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $197.50 |
| 09-14 13:58 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.2143569283 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 13:58 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.2130584187 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 03:42 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.052 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 21:15 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.7480331714 | $75.00 |
| 09-03 17:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 17:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $137.06 |
| 09-03 17:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 17:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7534719161 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 17:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.303921543 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2992277648 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 16:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $112.14 |