0x0f66765e7159e8039FC21f92e68EB10187890a15-1732447335627
0x38991567e0c6cc6e91fb17841dd36fece0512164
- Realised P&L
- $-14.85
- Volume
- $140.10
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.056 | $4.51 | +$1.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.095 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.125 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.503 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.612Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-26?
- +$0.54at 0.651Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?
- +$0.52at 0.661Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:44 | Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.56 |
| 10-02 20:28 | Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 04:29 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.0334608023 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 14:27 | Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 09-26 14:25 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:04 | Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:17 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1190712348 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:07 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:48 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |