0x388c3f754915858C670D8299237F798250d4467e-1772662670109
0x388c3f754915858c670d8299237f798250d4467e
- Realised P&L
- $24.37
- Volume
- $350.59
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $26.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 15? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $9.97 | +$0.07 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $245? · No | 0.980 | 0.995 | $4.97 | +$0.07 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.940 | $4.70 | −$0.15 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $210? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.925 | $4.63 | −$0.33 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.503 | $2.52 | −$2.44 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.541 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Michigan vs. Minnesota · Michigan | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down | 0.598 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.40at 0.349Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.797Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.450Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?
- +$1.50at 0.500Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:20 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-15 08:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-15 08:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-11 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $245? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-11 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 12 above $210? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 08:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-09 08:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $4.62 |
| 10-09 08:02 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.80 |
| 10-09 07:59 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.31 |
| 10-09 07:57 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.31 |
| 10-09 07:56 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-06 08:14 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.41 |
| 10-06 08:14 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-05 23:59 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 23:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on October 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |