PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fbm

0x3887650164096db6b9364badf90cc22bf0427f5b

Realised P&L
$900.49
Volume
$994.5k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$605.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3610.564$340.26+$122.49
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1070.045$100.95$139.82
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0240.009$87.30$163.37
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.004$49.45$7.06
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$27.98$83.89
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.70
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$13.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$84.19
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.80
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00$36.02
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$157.53
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · No0.2400.000$0.00$6.97
Will Rodri join Real Madrid? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$201.28
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$139.74
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$8.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 07:35Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.01$1.04
08-06 07:34Will Rodri join Real Madrid?BUY0.371$201.28
08-05 11:31Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$111.92
08-05 11:26Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.011$1.14
08-01 04:01Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.08$358.93
07-26 12:47Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.436$87.76
07-23 02:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.409$109.76
07-23 02:21Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.409$146.35
07-21 11:39Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$50.22
07-21 11:30Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.052$427.22
07-20 18:26Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$6.30
07-20 18:24Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.041$422.66
07-20 15:07Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0188474563$2.47
07-20 15:07Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.017$14.75
07-20 14:40Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.042$1.68