0x3886cCe7D22dc7bbFC0ED1B4cE5E2a179a72aC69-1767481790135
0x3886cce7d22dc7bbfc0ed1b4ce5e2a179a72ac69
- Realised P&L
- $-65.88
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $14.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.205 | $9.32 | −$7.50 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.006 | $5.45 | −$4.55 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Raiders | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Maryland vs. UConn · UConn | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.78at 0.490Bills vs. Jaguars
- +$15.34at 0.746Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$-2.74at 0.180Panthers vs. Buccaneers
- +$-5.00at 0.170Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?
- +$-10.00at 0.050Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:07 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.3699999956 | $16.82 |
| 09-28 10:11 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.3499999988 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 22:03 | Maryland vs. UConn | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 23:54 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | BUY | 0.739999997 | $44.30 |
| 02-28 16:02 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 16:00 | Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0502859005 | $10.00 |
| 01-17 15:11 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.1099999884 | $7.77 |
| 01-11 21:27 | Bills vs. Jaguars | SELL | 0.999 | $40.77 |
| 01-10 16:54 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.1057689035 | $50.00 |
| 01-10 16:49 | Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 16:46 | Bills vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 23:40 | Panthers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.1799999488 | $2.74 |
| 01-03 23:29 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0812685681 | $5.00 |