easypredict
0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77
- Realised P&L
- $481.1k
- Volume
- $36.87M
- Markets traded
- 3,074
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,074
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.0kat 0.478Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?
- +$45.3kat 0.312Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
- +$34.9kat 0.830Warriors vs. Nuggets
- +$29.0kat 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 18?
- +$28.9kat 0.307Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Solana Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.48 | $0.48 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Solana Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.953 | $0.95 |
| 08-02 12:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 08:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.88 | $139.60 |
| 08-02 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.967 | $7.1k |
| 08-02 05:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.887 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $95.73 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 07-31 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 07-31 10:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 07-31 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |