easypredict
0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77
- Realised P&L
- $515.8k
- Volume
- $37.86M
- Markets traded
- 3,249
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,249
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.0kat 0.478Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?
- +$45.3kat 0.312Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
- +$34.9kat 0.830Warriors vs. Nuggets
- +$29.0kat 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 18?
- +$28.9kat 0.306Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.64 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.56 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.28 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.62 |
| 09-17 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.61 |
| 09-17 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 04:22 | XRP Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 19:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.81 | $56.70 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-16 18:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.83 | $512.11 |
| 09-16 18:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 09-16 18:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |