PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lastmile1502

0x3881f3cd7e37021f9acd059825a007a411a90a5e

Realised P&L
$-126.67
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$37.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$19.86−$0.14
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? · Yes0.2100.375$17.86+$7.86
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$44.96
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.9580.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 20:00Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
07-31 19:59Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
07-31 01:44Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-31 01:44Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9582812687$20.00
06-25 01:11Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?BUY0.699999993$20.00
05-28 23:27Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?BUY0.669999995$20.00
05-25 23:55Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.02
05-25 23:55Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?SELL0.947$21.61
05-25 23:55Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?SELL0.6935242291$15.74
05-25 23:55Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?SELL0.985$21.24
05-25 23:55Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.954$22.12
05-25 23:55Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?SELL0.984$22.34
05-25 23:26Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?SELL0.7418746531$16.04
05-25 23:26Will Ken Paxton drop out?SELL0.999$19.18
05-25 23:26Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?SELL0.936$2.66