PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jermak

0x38805ed481d1ef908856e9b0db4a27ca6c95fe62

Realised P&L
$1.41
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.5000.735$2.1k+$666.93
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.265$752.07$666.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No0.9950.994$169.74$0.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? · No0.9980.999$100.10+$0.10
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9910.996$69.31+$0.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No0.9950.998$50.13+$0.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? · No0.9970.995$39.92$0.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.9920.994$30.05+$0.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.9970.994$9.97$0.03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0880.004$0.05$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.9920079869$30.00
09-21 16:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.997$10.00
09-21 16:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?BUY0.9949999858$50.00
09-17 09:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?BUY0.995$170.00
09-17 09:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September?BUY0.997$40.00
09-17 09:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.997999998$100.00
09-17 09:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.998$90.00
07-27 21:28Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9909999999$69.00
07-27 21:24Dogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
07-19 11:22Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0879999226$1.00
07-19 11:22Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?BUY0.999$100.00
07-19 11:22Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?BUY0.997999998$100.00
03-23 17:08Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.999$606.00
03-23 17:08Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?BUY0.9879999978$20.00
03-23 17:07Crude Oil all time high by March 31?BUY0.975$40.00