Jermak
0x38805ed481d1ef908856e9b0db4a27ca6c95fe62
- Realised P&L
- $1.41
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No | 0.500 | 0.735 | $2.1k | +$666.93 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.500 | 0.265 | $752.07 | −$666.93 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $169.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $100.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.991 | 0.996 | $69.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $50.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $39.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.994 | $30.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $9.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.004 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$800.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$8.69at 0.580US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?
- +$5.33at 0.36054kg W Boxing Final: Yuan (CHN) vs. Akbas (TUR)
- +$3.15at 0.820Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?
- +$2.85at 0.260Timberwolves vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.9920079869 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 16:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 16:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9949999858 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 09:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $170.00 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 07-27 21:28 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $69.00 |
| 07-27 21:24 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 11:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 11:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 11:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 17:08 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $606.00 |
| 03-23 17:08 | Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.9879999978 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 17:07 | Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $40.00 |