PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBG

0x38782ead6658f312960e7ed8a21eff7ae74d5ca4

Realised P&L
$-53.48
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$7.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.5920.205$6.92$13.08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.5500.340$0.74$0.46
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1800.011$0.17$2.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-05 19:32Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.179999958$3.00
01-05 19:25Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.32$10.00
01-05 01:27Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?BUY0.5499998396$1.20
01-05 01:25Maduro guilty of all counts?BUY0.5922270141$20.00
01-05 01:25Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
01-05 01:11Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
01-05 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7PM ETSELL0.999$2.08
01-05 00:08Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
01-05 00:03Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
01-04 23:59Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7PM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00
01-04 23:54Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5PM ETBUY0.001$1.00
01-04 23:51Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
01-04 23:48Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?BUY0.061754529$10.00