0x38750BD8D30749A3e9c75aBfDa25b2768080cdFe-1775205105089
0x38750bd8d30749a3e9c75abfda25b2768080cdfe
- Realised P&L
- $-250.92
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $19.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.041 | $9.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.59at 0.236Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$25.14at 0.547Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$23.15at 0.467Spread: Austria (-1.5)
- +$20.95at 0.328Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$20.73at 0.420Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:17 | Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 15:06 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:06 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:05 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:04 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:42 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 13:53 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 13:52 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5699999473 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 13:41 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 13:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $37.73 |
| 08-19 12:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999991 | $36.00 |
| 08-12 10:58 | Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0448275862 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 08:57 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.9857778738 | $57.03 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.6999999879 | $40.50 |