PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38750BD8D30749A3e9c75aBfDa25b2768080cdFe-1775205105089

0x38750bd8d30749a3e9c75abfda25b2768080cdfe

Realised P&L
$-250.92
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$19.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2100.225$10.71+$0.71
Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.0450.041$9.03−$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:17Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.649999987$15.00
09-19 15:06Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5$2.00
09-19 15:06Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-19 15:05Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-19 15:04Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2$1.00
09-15 16:42Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.5799999768$3.00
09-06 13:53Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)BUY0.5799999265$3.00
09-06 13:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.5699999473$4.00
09-06 13:41Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
09-06 13:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.87$37.73
08-19 12:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8299999991$36.00
08-12 10:58Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.0448275862$10.00
08-12 08:57Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
08-02 07:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.9857778738$57.03
08-01 19:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.6999999879$40.50