0x3866f7b3729f8314ae29842a11baeb0b6c8667dd
- Realised P&L
- $-212.06
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $86.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.195 | $55.11 | −$15.54 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.240 | $10.33 | −$5.60 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.105 | $6.39 | −$4.56 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.009 | $5.51 | −$3.27 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.016 | $3.38 | −$4.66 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.213 | 0.038 | $2.35 | −$10.78 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $1.82 | −$1.82 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.006 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-33.00at 0.083Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$-35.50at 0.115Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-35.92at 0.088Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$-66.86at 0.079Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.2126393338 | $13.13 |
| 09-18 17:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? | BUY | 0.0151460916 | $8.78 |
| 09-18 17:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0380533979 | $8.04 |
| 09-18 17:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.179999998 | $10.95 |
| 09-18 17:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.3699999919 | $15.93 |
| 09-18 16:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.65 |
| 09-18 16:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $70.65 |
| 09-16 19:24 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.08 | $31.68 |
| 09-16 19:22 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.0847420147 | $34.49 |
| 09-16 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0349999998 | $6.97 |
| 09-16 06:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0517395943 | $8.08 |
| 09-16 03:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0729999998 | $17.37 |