PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3866f7b3729f8314ae29842a11baeb0b6c8667dd

Realised P&L
$-212.06
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$86.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.2500.195$55.11$15.54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? · Yes0.3700.240$10.33$5.60
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes0.1800.105$6.39$4.56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? · Yes0.0150.009$5.51$3.27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? · Yes0.0380.016$3.38$4.66
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 14-20? · Yes0.2130.038$2.35$10.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0090.004$1.82$1.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · Yes0.0050.004$0.70$0.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · Yes0.0120.006$0.54$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:15Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 14-20?BUY0.2126393338$13.13
09-18 17:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September?BUY0.0151460916$8.78
09-18 17:05Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September?BUY0.0380533979$8.04
09-18 17:04Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.179999998$10.95
09-18 17:02Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
09-18 17:02Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-18 17:02Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.005$1.00
09-18 17:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?BUY0.3699999919$15.93
09-18 16:58Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.009$2.65
09-18 16:58Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.25$70.65
09-16 19:24Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.08$31.68
09-16 19:22Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.0847420147$34.49
09-16 14:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.0349999998$6.97
09-16 06:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.0517395943$8.08
09-16 03:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.0729999998$17.37