PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3864a736b3ffbb7dc22a4d4cbc9e909433abc36f

0x3864a736b3ffbb7dc22a4d4cbc9e909433abc36f

Realised P&L
$-27.23
Volume
$730.48
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$280.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.725$61.44+$11.44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.755$59.92+$9.92
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.725$57.54+$7.54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6400.715$55.86+$5.86
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.7000.645$46.07−$3.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 14:04Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.7$50.00
10-01 14:03Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
10-01 14:03Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.589999998$50.00
10-01 14:022026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.64$50.00
10-01 14:02Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
07-25 10:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.527888442$50.00
05-17 13:27Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5299999983$100.00
05-01 05:55Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.3699999887$20.00