bantalimon
0x38625229e95697ff4e5c709b57ada8719c415c69
- Realised P&L
- $-197.85
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $108.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.23at 0.081Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$23.80at 0.370Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?
- +$22.56at 0.720Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
- +$20.80at 0.063Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
- +$16.15at 0.073Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 19:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0489999908 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 19:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0715686149 | $5.00 |
| 01-19 09:52 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |
| 12-25 09:45 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | BUY | 0.0698408861 | $128.60 |
| 12-25 09:42 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.90 |
| 12-25 09:39 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $14.83 |
| 12-25 09:31 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26? | BUY | 0.8899999974 | $34.32 |
| 12-25 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on December 25? | BUY | 0.943404303 | $42.91 |
| 12-25 09:31 | Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25? | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $54.25 |
| 12-08 16:33 | Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025? | BUY | 0.9499999622 | $23.88 |
| 12-08 16:32 | Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025) | BUY | 0.9489999999 | $26.64 |
| 12-07 20:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.1215990615 | $187.09 |
| 12-04 05:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0872067447 | $24.48 |
| 12-04 05:43 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1005221002 | $64.43 |
| 12-04 05:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $111.63 |