PunchRomaine7
0x385055779b47880270c2b746aca730712a9a63db
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $102.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.003 | $9.61 | −$125.64 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$169.09 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.26at 0.515Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$-124.36at 0.068Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 04:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2998396558 | $766.69 |
| 03-24 03:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2898333333 | $434.75 |
| 03-24 03:53 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2754551225 | $494.72 |
| 03-24 03:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2558856385 | $472.79 |
| 03-24 03:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2497045986 | $320.37 |
| 01-05 15:26 | Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0351961554 | $135.25 |
| 12-05 18:41 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 11-07 21:12 | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BUY | 0.5146614973 | $74.50 |
| 10-29 17:59 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0049115914 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 17:52 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $44.12 |
| 10-29 15:50 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 16:15 | Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025? | BUY | 0.0845401078 | $125.00 |
| 09-14 16:22 | Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer? | SELL | 0.034305149 | $125.25 |
| 09-14 06:15 | Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer? | BUY | 0.07 | $181.42 |
| 09-14 05:55 | Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer? | BUY | 0.0699864272 | $32.49 |