PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PunchRomaine7

0x385055779b47880270c2b746aca730712a9a63db

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$102.8k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$9.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0350.003$9.61$125.64
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$2.5k
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$125.00
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$169.09
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$64.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-24 04:01Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2998396558$766.69
03-24 03:59Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2898333333$434.75
03-24 03:53Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2754551225$494.72
03-24 03:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2558856385$472.79
03-24 03:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.2497045986$320.37
01-05 15:26Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0351961554$135.25
12-05 18:41Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.002$10.00
11-07 21:12Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?BUY0.5146614973$74.50
10-29 17:59No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.0049115914$25.00
10-29 17:52No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.004$44.12
10-29 15:50No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.012$100.00
09-17 16:15Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?BUY0.0845401078$125.00
09-14 16:22Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?SELL0.034305149$125.25
09-14 06:15Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?BUY0.07$181.42
09-14 05:55Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?BUY0.0699864272$32.49