PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kakarotmu

0x384ccf77a027c94f73c4edc242db55f824a92688

Realised P&L
$-769.34
Volume
$81.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$118.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.3200.190$118.28$80.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 14:53Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.153$31.36
07-23 00:25Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.33$40.18
07-23 00:00Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.61$196.77
07-20 07:53Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.467$143.37
07-19 18:49Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.57$6.78
07-19 18:44Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$7.02
07-19 15:48Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?SELL0.04$0.26
07-19 15:48Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?SELL0.09$32.86
07-19 12:37Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.702$198.30
07-18 23:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.150025794$87.24
07-18 19:52Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?SELL0.82$167.48
07-18 13:39Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.123$58.01
07-18 10:57Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.285$0.09
07-18 07:44Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.286$12.33
07-17 19:27Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.077$14.30