kakarotmu
0x384ccf77a027c94f73c4edc242db55f824a92688
- Realised P&L
- $-769.34
- Volume
- $81.4k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $118.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.190 | $118.28 | −$80.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.30at 0.850US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$6.13at 0.790Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$1.40at 0.976Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.23at 0.115Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$0.96at 0.010Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 14:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.153 | $31.36 |
| 07-23 00:25 | Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.33 | $40.18 |
| 07-23 00:00 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.61 | $196.77 |
| 07-20 07:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.467 | $143.37 |
| 07-19 18:49 | Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.57 | $6.78 |
| 07-19 18:44 | Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $7.02 |
| 07-19 15:48 | Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.26 |
| 07-19 15:48 | Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.09 | $32.86 |
| 07-19 12:37 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.702 | $198.30 |
| 07-18 23:25 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.150025794 | $87.24 |
| 07-18 19:52 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? | SELL | 0.82 | $167.48 |
| 07-18 13:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.123 | $58.01 |
| 07-18 10:57 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.285 | $0.09 |
| 07-18 07:44 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.286 | $12.33 |
| 07-17 19:27 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.077 | $14.30 |