PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x383CC45CCeb1798A27bC9B8f932cAc0B9baf325E-1786485603956

0x383cc45cceb1798a27bc9b8f932cac0b9baf325e

Realised P&L
$-242.19
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$880.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8680.876$228.65+$2.09
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · No0.2790.265$195.55−$10.01
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.8290.725$189.18−$27.16
Will Logan Thompson win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? · No0.7700.900$103.50+$14.95
Fisk Bulldogs vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders0.9750.997$50.56+$1.07
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes0.1280.070$38.59−$31.77
Murray State Racers vs. Tennessee State Tigers · Murray State Racers0.6580.825$21.75+$4.39
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8900.512$16.74−$12.33
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.8100.961$10.74+$1.68
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? · Yes0.0400.021$9.42−$8.58
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · No0.8600.814$4.25−$0.24
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · No0.9000.795$4.18−$0.55
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? · No0.8700.625$3.60−$1.41
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$1.82−$0.83
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026? · Yes0.0440.032$1.49−$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 00:17Fisk Bulldogs vs. Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersBUY0.9753489105$49.49
10-27 00:17Murray State Racers vs. Tennessee State TigersBUY0.6499999438$3.47
10-27 00:16Murray State Racers vs. Tennessee State TigersBUY0.660489701$13.89
10-27 00:07Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.18$75.08
10-10 14:55KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsBUY0.05$2.63
10-10 00:05Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.008$0.03
10-10 00:04Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.0099493056$0.72
10-09 10:15Will Logan Thompson win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?BUY0.77$88.55
10-05 00:10Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.0776924528$4.12
10-04 14:38Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?SELL0.8244608696$18.96
10-03 09:24Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?SELL0.482$9.64
10-01 19:53Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?SELL0.037$1.59
09-29 22:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.142$0.99
09-27 18:21Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$0.04
09-27 18:21Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$1.54