0x383CC45CCeb1798A27bC9B8f932cAc0B9baf325E-1786485603956
0x383cc45cceb1798a27bc9b8f932cac0b9baf325e
- Realised P&L
- $-242.19
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $880.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.54at 0.297M25 Rabat: Iannis Miletich vs Adrian Andreev
- +$57.41at 0.730Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$33.18at 0.743Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
- +$32.44at 0.1901st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
- +$24.48at 0.861Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 40% or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:17 | Fisk Bulldogs vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | BUY | 0.9753489105 | $49.49 |
| 10-27 00:17 | Murray State Racers vs. Tennessee State Tigers | BUY | 0.6499999438 | $3.47 |
| 10-27 00:16 | Murray State Racers vs. Tennessee State Tigers | BUY | 0.660489701 | $13.89 |
| 10-27 00:07 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.18 | $75.08 |
| 10-10 14:55 | KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions | BUY | 0.05 | $2.63 |
| 10-10 00:05 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.03 |
| 10-10 00:04 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0099493056 | $0.72 |
| 10-09 10:15 | Will Logan Thompson win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? | BUY | 0.77 | $88.55 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0776924528 | $4.12 |
| 10-04 14:38 | Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.8244608696 | $18.96 |
| 10-03 09:24 | Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | SELL | 0.482 | $9.64 |
| 10-01 19:53 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.59 |
| 09-29 22:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.142 | $0.99 |
| 09-27 18:21 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.04 |
| 09-27 18:21 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.54 |