PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3837c79facdC7D124a382874F4dA63B5df368977-1767863407574

0x3837c79facdc7d124a382874f4da63b5df368977

Realised P&L
$-104.04
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$33.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3400.065$19.12$80.88
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.2920.083$14.11$35.89
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.6900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 15:03Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?BUY0.2924049343$50.00
03-25 18:32US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.59$128.26
03-25 18:31US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.18$64.29
03-25 01:11US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
03-23 18:08US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.4599999983$100.00
03-23 18:08Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3399999978$100.00
03-18 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.52$12.81
03-18 18:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.4$9.71
03-18 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.3799999833$9.72
03-18 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.1003741134$9.96
03-18 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.26$14.37
03-18 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.179999987$9.89
03-18 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.36$12.28
03-18 18:12Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.2899999846$9.79
03-18 18:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.54$11.07