0x3837c79facdC7D124a382874F4dA63B5df368977-1767863407574
0x3837c79facdc7d124a382874f4da63b5df368977
- Realised P&L
- $-104.04
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $33.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.065 | $19.12 | −$80.88 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.083 | $14.11 | −$35.89 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.07at 0.180Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$28.26at 0.460US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$15.39at 0.230Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$14.29at 0.140US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$8.63at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:03 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.2924049343 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 18:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $128.26 |
| 03-25 18:31 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $64.29 |
| 03-25 01:11 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 03-23 18:08 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 18:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 18:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $12.81 |
| 03-18 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.71 |
| 03-18 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $9.72 |
| 03-18 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1003741134 | $9.96 |
| 03-18 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $14.37 |
| 03-18 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.179999987 | $9.89 |
| 03-18 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $12.28 |
| 03-18 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $9.79 |
| 03-18 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $11.07 |