0x3834543091d124db03d5e01a7c6824930da83a8f
0x3834543091d124db03d5e01a7c6824930da83a8f
- Realised P&L
- $1.40
- Volume
- $65.56
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halys vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.995 | $2.70 | +$1.10 |
| Cina vs. Muller: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.600 | $1.32 | +$0.24 |
| Rangers vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Cerundolo vs. Fokina: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Bruins vs. Capitals · Bruins | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Sakkari vs. Gibson: Match O/U 21.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Cerundolo vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers · New York Mets | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.62at 0.156Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$2.07at 0.452Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja Kraus
- +$1.41at 0.500Marozsan vs. Daniel: Match O/U 21.5
- +$1.29at 0.500Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$1.14at 0.492Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 04:38 | Halys vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.5899998709 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 04:37 | Cerundolo vs. Fokina: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.5699999525 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 04:35 | Cina vs. Muller: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 04:35 | Cerundolo vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.419999843 | $1.07 |
| 09-26 04:32 | Clemson vs. California | BUY | 0.64 | $1.96 |
| 09-26 00:21 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5799999893 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 00:20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 09-26 00:11 | Bruins vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.1299999851 | $1.05 |
| 09-26 00:07 | Rangers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.1099999948 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 17:32 | Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:06 | Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja Kraus | BUY | 0.4399999152 | $1.66 |
| 09-25 01:39 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |
| 09-24 20:12 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.15 | $1.02 |
| 09-24 18:09 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4199999875 | $4.69 |