0x3832af2b1bcA83cc19d4Ede2FdBC5d46665E91B3-1768586702177
0x3832af2b1bca83cc19d4ede2fdbc5d46665e91b3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.17
- Volume
- $304.46
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $25.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.765 | $22.95 | +$1.95 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.125 | $2.75 | −$10.45 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.85 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.53at 0.690Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$6.73at 0.120Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?
- +$3.04at 0.930Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
- +$2.12at 0.330Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
- +$0.95at 0.190Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 08:23 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | BUY | 0.4399999791 | $9.25 |
| 01-29 07:01 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.5499999975 | $10.85 |
| 01-29 06:53 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.84 |
| 01-25 19:57 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | BUY | 0.5499999489 | $3.23 |
| 01-25 18:30 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | BUY | 0.9299999947 | $40.41 |
| 01-20 15:15 | Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.94 |
| 01-20 15:05 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.95 |
| 01-20 11:49 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.3299999803 | $8.73 |
| 01-20 11:42 | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January? | SELL | 0.5240996399 | $8.73 |
| 01-16 18:37 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24? | BUY | 0.6899999941 | $27.88 |
| 01-16 18:30 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 01-16 18:30 | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |