each1
0x3831d94e0638ece2e891ea729245aa0100d06663
- Realised P&L
- $-2.65
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $1.54 | −$1.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.006 | $0.35 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.36at 0.490Clippers vs. Pelicans
- +$4.28at 0.440Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?
- +$3.11at 0.510UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)
- +$3.11at 0.560Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?
- +$2.84at 0.480Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.57 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0209999999 | $1.21 |
| 09-08 11:42 | Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9859999978 | $2.72 |
| 09-01 22:31 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.65 |
| 08-26 00:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.08 |
| 08-19 00:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.64 |
| 08-14 05:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.9949993891 | $1.36 |
| 08-14 05:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.9879993902 | $1.51 |
| 08-04 21:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.77 |
| 07-21 23:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9809999993 | $1.47 |
| 07-14 21:14 | Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9539999912 | $1.08 |
| 07-08 09:14 | Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.9709999887 | $1.37 |
| 04-16 08:52 | Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17? | BUY | 0.4199999505 | $3.90 |
| 04-14 20:56 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.4799999392 | $1.58 |
| 04-09 08:05 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7899999851 | $4.77 |