0x3830fd68537b1a408d495c31acdbe7d9f1e3d2d5
0x3830fd68537b1a408d495c31acdbe7d9f1e3d2d5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $97.8k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $150.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.295 | $150.56 | −$201.60 |
| Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.57 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.35 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.97 |
| Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.052Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$746.49at 0.013Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$480.27at 0.759Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$438.88at 0.555Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$426.48at 0.115Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Chelsea FC?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:14 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $352.16 |
| 11-01 20:57 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $300.33 |
| 11-01 18:51 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $165.35 |
| 11-01 16:05 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $201.66 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6599999995 | $133.23 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $543.34 |
| 11-01 11:34 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7599999999 | $413.35 |
| 11-01 06:48 | Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $11.57 |
| 10-31 23:48 | Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3937943376 | $39.94 |
| 10-31 20:08 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.504635517 | $121.35 |
| 10-31 14:47 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5699999997 | $187.97 |
| 10-31 13:03 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.99 |
| 10-30 20:13 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.6899999977 | $71.90 |
| 10-30 18:36 | Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $118.46 |
| 10-30 18:23 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.56 |