PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lukyyyyyyy

0x382caa87e714afb16c2c8b9e2fc023d4b6b2a0d7

Realised P&L
$57.5k
Volume
$7.97M
Markets traded
722
Open portfolio
$299.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded722
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.7251.000$199.90+$54.90
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.2750.200$99.00$36.90
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.5200.090$0.17$0.83
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$99.21
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) · Croatia0.0120.000$0.00$12.50
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5 · Over0.2500.000$0.00$50.00
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) · Croatia0.0470.000$0.00$95.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 15:23Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.24$1.20
07-13 12:11Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?SELL0.997$649.70
07-13 12:07Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?SELL0.998$47.88
07-13 12:01Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?BUY0.95$665.60
07-02 21:36Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5BUY0.25$50.00
07-02 21:36Spread: Croatia (-2.5)BUY0.0125$12.50
07-02 21:36Spread: Croatia (-1.5)BUY0.0475$95.00
07-01 11:28Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.28$64.96
06-29 12:05Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.2698134328$72.31
06-28 20:52MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
06-28 20:52Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
06-27 17:17Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 2.5BUY0.18$90.00
06-27 17:17Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5BUY0.2$40.00
06-27 17:16Spread: Croatia (-2.5)BUY0.1$100.00
06-16 08:23England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5BUY0.2197$219.70