A4NO7R
0x38274c30fed14da614d16dafb2835a6cd3765be2
- Realised P&L
- $-64.68
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.039 | $0.97 | −$2.02 |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.125 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.47 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.83at 0.508US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$0.86at 0.700Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?
- +$0.45at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$0.43at 0.690Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$0.35at 0.740Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 00:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 02-09 00:04 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0058195926 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 08:52 | Meta (META) Up or Down on February 3? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |
| 02-03 08:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 02-03 08:42 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 08:38 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0396407948 | $4.39 |
| 02-03 08:33 | Iran strike on US military by February 28? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.43 |
| 02-03 08:33 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.83 |
| 01-29 07:52 | Iran strike on US military by February 28? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 01-29 07:52 | Iran strike on US military by January 31? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 07:48 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 01-29 07:34 | Will Artemis II launch by February 7? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 05:31 | Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.00 |
| 01-26 02:06 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 02:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |