PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3822ee51d8846d46fd57e1287ee26884369bb720

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
1,146
Open portfolio
$40.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded1,146
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0400.004$37.31−$389.44
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$3.27−$4.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.1050.000$0.00−$82.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.2380.000$0.00−$114.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$199.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00−$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.1880.000$0.00−$135.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.3070.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.1920.000$0.00−$145.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.2230.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 14? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$72.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.5060.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.3090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes0.4510.000$0.00−$586.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$295.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:37Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.1499999978$6.77
09-16 22:21Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.3102162565$13.00
09-16 18:17Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.5099999997$400.00
09-16 18:17Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?SELL0.2526795733$450.80
09-16 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 16?BUY0.2899999984$23.26
09-16 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.76$152.00
09-16 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.29$29.00
09-16 14:31Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.28$50.40
09-16 14:31Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.28$56.00
09-16 14:31Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.2999$149.95
09-16 14:31Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.169$492.60
09-16 06:52Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.26$201.26
09-16 00:28Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.54$216.00
09-15 22:24Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?BUY0.39$11.70
09-15 20:47Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.17$8.16