0x3822ee51d8846d46fd57e1287ee26884369bb720
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 1,146
- Open portfolio
- $40.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded1,146
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.119Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$2.5kat 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$2.0kat 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 27?
- +$2.0kat 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1499999978 | $6.77 |
| 09-16 22:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3102162565 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 18:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $400.00 |
| 09-16 18:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.2526795733 | $450.80 |
| 09-16 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.2899999984 | $23.26 |
| 09-16 14:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 09-16 14:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $50.40 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2999 | $149.95 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.169 | $492.60 |
| 09-16 06:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.26 | $201.26 |
| 09-16 00:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 09-15 22:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-15 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.16 |