0x38202400659e541cb1609e076bd7e72b26f31e5d
0x38202400659e541cb1609e076bd7e72b26f31e5d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.24
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $3.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.815 | $1.19 | +$0.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.86at 0.756Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$15.64at 0.697Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$15.41at 0.796Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$14.17at 0.654Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$12.69at 0.758Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-15 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $3.51 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999783 | $6.00 |
| 10-14 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 04:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 17:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 19:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1651376026 | $2.00 |